3 Things That Are Not Going To Happen in Today's Housing Market

3 Things That Are Not Going To Happen in Today's Housing Market

Right now there’s a lot of uncertainty, which has some dramatic headlines buzzing around. If you’re thinking about buying a home, that noise can make the decision feel even tougher.

A recent CNBC study asked homebuyers what worries them most, and three themes kept popping up:

  • Mortgage rates

  • The number of homes for sale

  • Home prices

A lot of what you hear about these topics isn’t always based on solid facts. Here’s a plain-English breakdown to separate truth from hype.

Misconception 1: “I’ll just wait because mortgage rates are going to fall dramatically.” Social media has some people hoping rates will drop a lot soon, so they’d rather wait to buy. But what do experts expect? Rates have dipped a bit recently, but the most likely scenario is that they’ll stay in the low 6% range this year. That’s not a huge change from current levels, and the story can shift with inflation and the economy. So waiting for a big rate drop may not pay off. Even with steady rates, today’s borrowing costs are sometimes more affordable than they were a year ago, so waiting isn’t a guaranteed win.

Misconception 2: “There are too many homes for sale right now.” You may hear that inventory is up nationally, which it is—about 8% higher than last year. That extra supply gives buyers more room to shop. But headlines often frame this as a crash waiting to happen. The bigger view shows inventory is still below pre-pandemic norms. On balance, there aren’t enough homes for sale to trigger a market crash, and only a few states currently have more inventory than in the pre-pandemic period.

Misconception 3: “Home prices are about to crash.” Some markets have seen small price dips, and that’s where the panic comes from. In reality, most areas are still seeing rising prices. Reasons prices aren’t crashing include homeowners staying put to keep low mortgage rates, inventory staying tight overall, and some sellers choosing not to lower asking prices. Even in markets with modest declines, price changes aren’t enough to wipe out the big gains homeowners have seen over the past few years.

Bottom line Online posts can distort reality. If you want a clear, data-based view of today’s market, talk to your local expert Crystal Schantzene, who can interpret the numbers for your situation.

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Whether you're buying or selling, working with me will give you the confidence to navigate Orange County real estate no matter where the market is, ensuring you make the best decisions for you and your loved ones.

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